@johnnycaffeine Not trying to start an argument, but I was one of the people who downvoted you, and I didn't do so because you had a different opinion, but for labeling the alternative opinion a "rules cuck." I think that's the kind of language that makes it hard to have a civil discussion of alternative readings of the resolution criteria. Part of what makes this place so great is that it's several steps above the PredictIt comment level. Just my opinion!
@Uncle Jeff Sounds like a good opportunity for some points then!
The Minnesota Star Tribune has published an estimate of $500 million in local damages. Source is just "owners and insurance experts" so take with a grain of salt, but it's one of a few holistic estimates that I've seen.
Republicans 42%, Democrats 58%
It looks like the community's prediction reached the low 40s in late Aug, so that's pretty impressive.
@panashe Just confirmed it myself. If you don't own Gamestop stock, it won't even show up when you search for the company. Incredible.
With the rapidly evolving Gamestop stock situation that closed one question after four days, I think it would be fun to have some more. Some suggestions:
What will the Gamestop stock price peak at in 2021?
What will the value of Gamestop stock be at market close on February 1st, 2021? (Or could extend to the 5th, though that might be too long given how things are evolving)
I'm really interested in questions regarding Russia and Ukraine. We're seeing a lot of media reports that the US intelligence community believes a Russian invasion of Ukraine in the next couple of months is a live possibility.
Any interest? Should I take a crack at drafting a question or two?
Given the recent fluctuations in homicide rates across the US (2020 rates were quite high), I think it would be interesting to have a few questions on that. Rates in 2021, 2021 - 2026 average, etc. I'm happy to take a crack at drafting questions if there's any interest.
@Jgalt Article title should have noted that he was retired and working security, not in uniform or active in service.
Having said that...what a tragedy. Seventy-seven years old, shot, dying on Facebook Live.
Will Joe Biden run for a second presidential term in 2024?
When will it be legal to fly on a domestic US commercial airline flight without wearing a mask?
@mishasamin The Supreme Court can only get involved in a situation like this if there's a case that gets appealed up to them. They don't get to just decide the winner, just resolve conflicts about how to interpret laws around counting rules, deadlines, etc. As far as I can tell the Trump campaign does not have any objections based in evidence that are likely to change the result in any state, much the less multiple states necessary.
For full disclosure, I put this at 1% yesterday.