@RedBox It would not make much difference, because Ukrainian non-professional reserve army is, putting it mildly, is not very good, in terms of equipment and training (sadly, I'm a reserve officer, and the training that I got is completely inadequate)
@fianxu no, nothing like that. there is no mobilisation, sentiment from Ukrainian politicians/experts/media is that economic impact would be destabilising
A possibly similar example is US invasion of Iraq, similar invasion force size (100-200k), and country's population size (40M). The campaign cost US >$2T. How can Russia afford this cost, with its GDP of $1.5T, and especially with impending economic sanctions? It just does not add up.
@Glossy this is the best take that I've seen so far, and well aligned with Russian and Ukrainian media response