Sock puppet accounts have been removed, and the question resolves positively. Sorry for the confusion, all.
@kievalet The problem is that the question resolved much much earlier than expected: it was only open for 2% of the original lifetime of the question, so only 2% of the question's points were made available. This is necessary to ensure that the scoring rules remain proper (that is, that they incentivize you to predict your true belief), but it's admittedly kind of unsatisfying in cases like this. We're working on a scoring rule update to fix it. Stay tuned!
I'd like to see highlighting (or some other visual marker) for new comments since I last read a question. Could be a horizontal line, could be a slightly other background colour, doesn't matter, the point is, when I see there are x new comments on a question I'm interested in, then I either have to vaguely recall which comment was last, or count from the top.
This is now implemented! If you go to a question with unread comments, there will be a bright yellow line separating the last unread comment from the first read comment.
Two small new updates:
Continuous predictions now allow for much (3x) narrower distributions. If you're feeling bullish, now's the time to update your predictions.
There used to be some cases where the Metaculus prediction on the continuous prediction graph wouldn't match the text and, relatedly, cases where the community prediction on the track record didn't match what it showed on individual question pages. Both of these should now be fixed.
@frxtz We recently made some big backend changes which may be the root cause of this bug. I wasn't able to reproduce it, so I didn't immediately fix it, but I'll now bump it towards the top of my to-do. Thanks!
@chris.j.cundy: Done! You should now see a little indicator that shows where the result lies along distribution.
@Jgalt In order to change the minimum width I also had to adjust the way the width of the distribution relates to the width of the sliders, so although your prior distributions shouldn't have changed, the placement of the slider knobs may look different.
@darkives Sorry about that! The button should now be invisible until either 10 people have predicted or two days have passed, whichever comes first.
@frxtz Thanks for catching that. Should be fixed for the next batch of reminders!
@Jgalt It looks like this was a problem that affected a few early predictors on each question, and you were an early predictor on each of them. It should be fixed now, and your proper points should get added to your score.
We're working on the root problem, so hopefully you won't see it again. If you do, let us know! Thanks!