Once someone has achieved a certain "power and insights" level, allow them to gain 1 tachyon each time they post their prediction as a comment? I notice how valuable it is when I see someone do that, and offering that incentive could be a way to encourage it.
With community odds now at 38%, I think I may go ahead and create a question about whether Russian troops enter Kiev by the end of the year. If we think the invasion has a significant chance of happening, a question like that would be important it would be useful to then see what kind of incursion it would be.
We have our first data point, and Bing's market share was 2.81% for February 2023, down from 3.03% for January. As Warren Buffett's partner Charlie Munger put it in 2009, "Google has a huge new moat. In fact I've probably never seen such a wide moat." For those unfamiliar, the word "moat" refers to how difficult it is for new market entrants to come in and compete with the incumbent. At the time Munger spoke those words, Google's market share on Statcounter pages was 89.86%. Today it's 93.37%.
@QI92756340QI If we're talking about the swastika-waving nutters, there was a town in North Dakota with a population of a couple dozen that some white nationalists attempted to move to and take over, but that failed miserably due to these people being unable to conduct themselves with any sort of proper behavior. (Google Leith, ND, if you want to read all about it.)
And that's just one small town, let alone entire parts of the US. My money would be on it not happening anywhere for the foreseeable future.
The crowd odds here are 95%. I'm curious about this discrepancy vs. the stock market. The stock price for TWTR just hit $49.00. This means an annualized return of around 30% if the deal goes closes in a few months, just from buying the common stock. I am curious who is right, us or the stock market.
Is there a way to view the old version? I got so used to it and can't make heads or tails of this new one
I believe we have enough now for a resolution. This BBC map shows Russian front lines within the city limits of Mariupol: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60695465
Does anyone disagree, or should we go ahead and call in the admins for a resolution?
Just want to note a key point, mentioned at GJOpen, is the torch relay. When the torch relay reaches its final destination, the Games officially begin. (PDF source)
The torch relay official schedule is at the following page and is scheduled to commence on March 25, from Fukushima prefecture: https://tokyo2020.org/en/torch/
Does anyone know anybody in Ukraine? If so, can you please get them to tell you what the soil is like outside their house? It it muddy, or is it frozen?
— edited by johnnycaffeine