What is the interpretation of "The citizens should not be asked to perform any specific labor activity?" If we allow: *"Healthy working-age citizens are asked to seek work actively, but all things mentioned are provided even if they refuse work."* then basically all Nordic countries provide this level of comfort already. It may be hard to realize that this is the case because the system is built from a patchwork of different welfare systems that kick in at different times. The absolute worst case in Finland is that after other necessities and month...

It just occurred to me that probability of war is endogenous variable in the nuclear brinkmanship game.

If the the perceived probability is too small, it will not work as a deterrent or threat. Participants must increase the probability (accidental escalation or perceived irrationality of player) until the threat becomes credible again. The probability of nuclear war has probably some equilibrium.

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This question is a good AI-hype index.

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Seymour Hersh did some great work when he was actively working.

Now he is 85 years old and apparently not trying to be critical to his sources anymore and checking them. He has been pushing 911 conspiracy, Syrian gas attack conspiracy and now this.

Quick and dirty estimate: 1. (p=0.3) From purely technological and infrastructure perspective feasible (still high risk of failure) in the near future assuming no economic or resource constraints. Project can draw unlimited funds and resources. 1. (p=0.3) Physiological feasibility unknown. If people confine themselves living under several meters of regolith, radiation exposure can be managed. The long term effects of 0.38g gravity are unknown. See, [Death on Mars - The martian radiation environment is a problem for human explorers that cannot be overst...
The questions seem "made up" or forced. They have little or nothing to do with AI Progress. Alphabet Inc. is an advertising company. Their market cap six months from now or Industrial activity six months from now does not measure AI progress. It's the question of economic cycles, international trade, antitrust issues, etc. The value of Object Detection and Image Classification Indexes in the short term depends more on conference schedules. In the longer term, it depends on how many models are tested on these older benchmarks. Hard pass on this compet...

Those 1 TB SD cards are for special purpose use. You can't compare them to general purpose HDD's.

SandDisk card memory lasts only 512 writes and it's intended for serial writing. If you record surveillance video 60 MB/s continuously and overwrite only after the card is full, the card lasts 16 years and can store last 11 days.

Apology for slavery was moral agents apologizing other moral agents who can comprehend the apology. Animals are moral patients, not moral agents. It's very unlikely that there will be apology even after it's agreed that people treated animals wrong. Terminology would not be correct.

In strict terms animal rights are not rights, they are responsibilities for humans. Laws and regulations are crafted to protect animals and humans will have moral responsibilities towards animals.

Key message in Putin's speech: Kiev must stop all military actions against separatists regions, or else.

@AngraMainyu Elon Musk's years aka Mars years, 1.88 Earth years.

"SpaceX will land humans on Mars about 6 years from now."

6×1.88 = 11.28 Earth years (year 2032).

@eibbett They did not enter ROC airspace. Al Jazeera's tweet and the title of the article are wrong. It's common for main news networks (not only Al Jazeera) to report this incorrectly and confuse terminology.

The planes were flying in the international airspace, you can decode it from the article. Constantly erroneous reporting makes it sound like Taiwan and other countries are not defending their airspace, just issuing warnings, and that China is doing something incredibly aggressive.

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There is no way to do this 1. By UN action -------------------- > There is no mechanism to remove a permanent member of the Security Council written into the UN Charter. The word “permanent” was to mean just that. But there is a process to remove a country from the United Nations. That would require a vote of the UN General Assembly based on the recommendation of the Security Council. This has never been done. And given that Russia has a veto on the Security Council, the Council cannot recommend Russia’s removal without Russia’s agreement. This simply...
If he stubbornly refuses and follows trough, he should issue orders in that effect. After the president concedes, there should be invitations to transition teams to enter the government. Transition team is given presidential transition services and facilities by the General Services Administration. That including payment for some services, office space, and equipment. If Trump refuses, none of that should happen. It's weird that every combination seems possible. 1. refuse to concede and refuse transition 1. refuse to concede but starts transiti...
No. RCEP is low impact treaty that avoids all difficult issues or sets them far in the future. The main achievement of the treaty is an agreement on unified rules of origin. If India had stayed in the RCEP negotiations, it would have contributed to the existing trade agreements more meaningfully. Now RCEP exists just for China. RCEP is not the successor of CPTPP. It's a completely different plan. US is very likely to join Pacific free trade deal (CPTPP) under Biden administration. [South Korea might also join with the US](https://www.upi.com/Top_...

@moreheadm

I don't think the White House is trying to mislead, nor is the intel wrong.

The point of revealing intelligence is to alter what happens. The White House is attempts to alter the future by revealing plans. When somethign does not happen as the intel indicates, it can be a success.

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Unfortunately, this is a question just about terminology and as such relatively irrelevant. If there is an uprising in Iran, the current theocratic regime collapses and Iran becomes a secular democratic republic and the constitution is changed, the name "Islamic Republic" in the constitution likely stays. It's not that important. For example, Pakistan is an Islamic republic without being a religious theocratic state. When Pakistan's constitution was written in 1956 it had a secular constitution and no state religion but still "Islamic Republic" ...
The timeline is too tight. I give only 5% change. SpaceX must finish the design, manufacturing, verify and test and tweak: 1. World's first full-flow staged combustion engine (Raptor) 2. Very large steel metal rocket with new design, metallurgy and manufacturing processes. 3. Manned landing and launch from Mars with the new rocket. 4. Finish lots of important details like life support, crew selection, etc. 5. Have a unmanned and manned test runs. Designing all these separately is challenging but then there is lots of systems integration and tes...
Final answer for a full ChatGPT is 1%. It's just not economic. - Full ChatGPT 175B parameter model requires 5 (five) A100 GPUs to load the model. - It takes at least 20 - 40 seconds to answer simple query. - Compute cost is about 1 cent per query assuming relatively short queries and answers. There is no way they can monetize anything this expensive with ads. It's also impossible to scale it like some google search? You run out of GPU's in the world (and electricity). ---- I asked this question from ChatGPT (Free Research Preview) ht...
It seems that the big question is if the virus is silently contagious and now long. If infected people can infect others before showing symptoms, the virus is harder to contain. China has other virus epidemics going on at the same time and people get hospitalized for similar symptoms. Full hospital beds are not telling the whole story until cases are confirmed in laboratory or statistical estimates are made. One public pundit, health economist, epidemiologist, and nutrition scientist is really pushing the catastrophe in twitter using sources al...
Most of Twitter infrastructure is in AWS, like timeline, key-value database, lots of computing and storage. Twitter is not as massive system as Fb, AWS, many Google services, Cloudflare etc. They have less than 250 mDAU's. Long downtime is usually associated to configuration errors, failed updates, network attacks. Twitter probably freezes all non-critical updates until they have survived all exits. They can still have serious problems with security and updates 6 months from now. Testing, validating, updating etc. requires work. With their securi...