Looks Like Moderna is likely to have an efficacy close to Pfizer's, according to Fauci. Faucci says he is surprised that pfizer's vaccine is close to 95% efficacy!

On moderna, he adds “I would really be surprised if we did not see a high degree of efficacy,” Fauci said. “You know it may not be 95%, it might be 90 or 96 or 89, but it’s going to be up there. I’m fairly certain it’s going to be up there.”

https://www.knbr.com/news/moderna-expects-to-…

UKRAINE AND RUSSIA DRAW UP NEUTRALITY PLAN TO END WAR – FT Fifteen-point draft deal would involve Kyiv renouncing Nato membership ambitions in return for security guarantees https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1 Putin’s press secretary Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Wednesday that neutrality for Ukraine based on the status of Austria or Sweden was a possibility. “This option is really being discussed now, and is one that can be considered neutral,” said Peskov. Sergei Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister, said that “absolutel...

Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) is set to be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange effective on Friday, according a delisting notice from the exchange.

The delisting notice comes amid a WSJ report that banks have begun funding their $13B portion of Elon Musk's $44B deal to take over Twitter (TWTR) as a Friday deadline to complete the transaction nears. Twitter rose 1% in after hours trading.

https://seekingalpha.com/news/3896099-twitter…

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@Jgalt I think he will eventually re-list the company given the various investors involved.

I would be interested in this question.

This city seems sort of like the deciding factor in the war given that the president is staying there and all, but with only 20 days to go, more sanctions against Russia, more support and resources for Ukraine to fight on, more time to mobilize, all the statistics about how long modern sieges take, that a successful fall would inflict massive civilian and soldier casualties, that it seems better to capture the smaller cities first, that there may be delays for negotiation talks or ceasefires for civilians to flee, I'm sticking with a pretty low probabili...

The Moderna CEO just confirmed that 15k will receive the vaccine candidate in phase 3 which is expected to start "sometime" in July. In the best possible timeline, he expects the vaccine may be ready to deploy around thanksgiving for high-risk people (e.g essential workers, immunocompromised, comorbidity)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iS-HhepWt1I

Omicron variant ‘almost certainly’ not more severe than Delta, Fauci says https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/…

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/05/world/europe/ukraine-refugee-war-return.html “The statistics have changed a lot recently,” Yurii Buchko, the deputy military administrator for Lviv, said in an interview. “In the beginning of the war 10 times the number of people left as those who returned.” Now, he said, on some days half of those crossing the border in Lviv Province were returning home rather than leaving. The returnees are largely women and children. Most Ukrainian men of military age with fewer than three children were banned from leaving the coun...

https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/01/politics/nancy… -- not sure how trustworthy this rumor is .... "The Taiwanese official added that she is expected to stay in Taiwan overnight. It is unclear when exactly Pelosi will land in Taipei."

Is this 4-day trial final? I assume there will be many appeals, but not sure

Meant to post this q here. Does anyone know how these 4-day initial trials go? I assume there will be a lot of appeals, but not sure.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_in_the_S%26P_500_Index There have been 36,509 days since the S&P 500 started trading -- 9504 weekends, and lets say another -- 1000 days for holidays. 26k trading days, and only 2 days that exceeded 15% move. This gives a probability of 0.00007692307 chance on any given trading day. There are 7 years left till 2030 or around 1750 trading days left (250/yr). 1750*0.00007692307 =0.13461538461 or 13.4% chance of this happening in the next 7 years. Now with the trade brake rules and the ...

Found an interesting comment on the reddit account:

5 years ago Mohammad Karim, who is believed to be in his sixties, was arrested after marrying the girl. He has told officials that he had been given the girl as a “religious offering” by her parents, Agence France-Presse reports.

Good, he deserves to rot in jail. But in a Taliban infested country this filthy pedophile will be out in no time. I can only hope that I am wrong.

https://www.samrc.ac.za/news/tshwane-district-omicron-variant-patient-profile-early-features "There are only 4 patients in high care and one in the ICU. The numbers of patients in high care on double oxygen, High Flow Nasal Oxygen or non-invasive ventilation (NIV) were noticeably higher in previous waves. This is anecdotal but confirmed by numerous clinicians who have previously worked in the COVID wards in the hospital complex. Of 38 adults in the COVID wards on 2 December 2021, 6 were vaccinated, 24 were unvaccinated and 8 had unknown vaccination sta...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M4zUp3kNss0&a…

If I heard correctly, they will have enough to give 20m individuals a vaccine in Dec and 25-35M per month after that, and around Feb/March on even more than that.

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