@Nausica The GATO research team addresses the question "Can our agent be used to solve a completely new task efficiently?" in section 5.2 of their research paper here: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media… . The research team have addressed this question only for the 364M "medium-sized" model. The model shows benefits from pre-training in 3 out 4 tasks. I think this means that the transfer learning rate is positive.

SPIRI's estimate of Russian military spending in 2022 seems to be wildly inaccurate and is - I believe - below the spending in 2020 in percentage terms. This is not surprising considering their methodology and various factors that have been overlooked. One significant factor is that SPIRI relies on primary sources such as government statistics to estimate spending. Another factor is the ad-hoc localization of military expenses, where expenses related to recruitment, equipping, and payment of volunteer battalions were outsourced to the regions, making it ...

@ClayGraubard If Ukraine falls, Moldova will be next as they have a democratically elected EU-friendly government. Georgia has a Russia-friendly government, so it's off Russia's hit-list.

IMHO appointing a new Chinese ambassador to Afghanistan is diplomatic recognition. https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStor…

Will Russia be excluded from SWIFT, as part of the sanctions ? Will Russia be excluded from the UN ? Will Russia invade Moldova by the end of 2022?

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@ce And, yes, I haven't been updating my prediction because I expected everybody to get this wrong.

Devised, tested, and publicly known of - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gato_(DeepMind). The only question is if it fulfills the criteria listed here...