@Jgalt Too many missed opportunities to count. Hopefully we’re not in for a sequel.
Graphs of the inflows, outflows, and water level. http://3gd.mooo.com/
@JamesEvans CNN reporting something similar: McConnell believes impeachment push will help rid Trump from the GOP, but has not said if he will vote to convict
Several GOP sources said on Tuesday that if McConnell supports conviction, Trump almost certainly will be convicted by 67 senators in the impeachment trial.
The latest reports are saying he wasn’t put on any type of ventilation (neither invasive nor non-invasive). I’ve switched to the overall ICU base rate (44%) and updated my prediction to an 89% chance of recovery.
Trevor Bedford, an epidemiologist who has been studying the spread of COVID, tweeted his arguments against the hypothesis that the virus originated in a lab: https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/123063413610…
Lots of great information in this article. Too much to quote.
Interim analysis results posted here: https://www.thelancet.com/lancet/article/S014…
And some commentary from Natalie Dean:
Out in @TheLancet, results from the Oxford/AZN trials, including more detail on the low dose results. Notably, the low dose recipients "received their second dose after a substantial gap." Only 0.8% received a second dose within 8 weeks of the first. 1/5
I’m curious about how much time people spend on their forecasts. I’ve been casually interested in forecasting for years, but only recently started doing it in earnest. I can spend days trying to answer one forecasting question. Is that normal? Or am I way past the point of diminishing returns?
@michal_dubrawski Great thread
@ege_erdil I definitely feel like I've learned a lot.
Even a booster should count, IMO.
This question is primarily asking about updated vaccines. In the fine print:
The guidance must recommend revaccination with a different vaccine than the one that was originally administered.