If I’m reading the API right, 66 users made their first prediction on this question in one hour and twenty minutes before it closed? Possibly all of them 70% predictions?

Scott Alexander says he recently learned they are still interviewing people.

[Image GPT](https://openai.com/blog/image-gpt/): > We find that, just as a large transformer model trained on language can generate coherent text, the same exact model trained on pixel sequences can generate coherent image completions and samples. By establishing a correlation between sample quality and image classification accuracy, we show that our best generative model also contains features competitive with top convolutional nets in the unsupervised setting. Text and images, but GPT-2 used less than the 10^4 petaflop/s-days of compute required in t...
[GShard: Scaling Giant Models with Conditional Computation and Automatic Sharding](https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.16668): > Neural network scaling has been critical for improving the model quality in many real-world machine learning applications with vast amounts of training data and compute. Although this trend of scaling is affirmed to be a sure-fire approach for better model quality, there are challenges on the path such as the computation cost, ease of programming, and efficient implementation on parallel devices. GShard is a module composed of a set of...
[Tucker Carlson Pours Cold Water on Talk of 2024 Bid](https://www.newsweek.com/tucker-carlson-2024-election-1526713) (Newsweek): > Asked whether he wanted to run for president in 2024, Carlson said: "I've never been involved in anything like that, I've never wanted to be involved in anything like that. I'll tell you this: I'm completely committed to saying what I think is true, and politics is a hard place to do that. > "I love what I'm doing. I'm grateful to work at Fox, I'm not just saying that... so I've got a contract that extends a while and I pla...

My forecast is a simple extrapolation of the average of the last seven days, with no trend. In the previous series of questions, the trend was frequently the reverse of what the community expected.

[Russia says military help available as Belarus hosts rival protests](https://www.reuters.com/article/us-belarus-election/russia-says-military-help-available-as-belarus-hosts-rival-protests-idUSKCN25C08E): > The Kremlin said Russian President Vladimir Putin had told Lukashenko Moscow was ready to assist Belarus in accordance with a collective military pact if necessary and that external pressure was being applied to the country. [Belarusian leader says no to new election, accuses NATO of build-up](https://www.reuters.com/article/us-belarus-election-luk...

Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Bull & Bear Market Tables has a table of S&P 500 corrections since 1928, with an average of one correction every 1.7 years.

The Wolf number can’t be negative so I’d prefer if the low boundary was closed.

[Writing, Reading, Writing](https://georgerrmartin.com/notablog/2020/06/23/writing-reading-writing/): > If nothing else, the enforced isolation has helped me write. I am spending long hours every day on THE WINDS OF WINTER, and making steady progress. I finished a new chapter yesterday, another one three days ago, another one the previous week. But no, this does not mean that the book will be finished tomorrow or published next week. It’s going to be a huge book, and I still have a long way to go. Please do not give any credence to any of the click-bait...

Goals turned green on the status dashboard sometime recently.

Singapore Airlines is beginning a trial very soon. AFP: [Singapore Airlines to pilot digital Covid travel pass](https://news.yahoo.com/singapore-airlines-pilot-digital-covid-121419415.html): > The app, developed by the International Air Transport Association (IATA), will store information on passengers' health, including whether they have had virus tests or vaccines, to streamline travel as borders reopen. > > Singapore's flag carrier said it would offer travellers heading from the city-state to London between March 15 and 28 the chance to participate ...