Probably too late, but I’m not big fan of the down arrow for comments. A lack of positive likes sends a message just as much as down arrows without looking as negative.

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I’m sorry. I don’t mean to guilt anybody. But as a favor to me, a former naval officer, can we not comment on this thread for 24 hours. It was a bad day.

This is just a general recommendation for forecasters. I don’t pester mods or admin on the weekend or holidays. Questions and resolutions can wait. Once you ping admin for resolution and they don’t respond, wait at least a week. They have other duties. Try to post link to site with resolution data if you can. I can’t tell people to be nice, but this site is about predicting what you think will happen, not what you want. (I want zero COVID deaths, but there will be x number; I wanted Biden to win, but I had Trump at around 45%, I don’t like mask mandat...

@nobody521 per the fine print, any Olympic events held anywhere and called the Olympics counts.

It’s a very low bar, but I think it counts as having occurred.

Is there a way to delete your comments other than reposting it as blank?

Here’s an article about a possible origin. Wildlife farms in southern China; not a lab.

https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/202…

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@MetaculusOutlooks thanks for your work. It’s sometimes the best part of my day.

I hope so. I’d like to think Metaculus becomes a valuable, trusted prediction platform.

@schkolne I like the new site. It just takes some getting used to.

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@JohnMcConnaughey I’m with you. I didn’t read the fine print. I’d like to withdraw my prediction. I re-predicted to minimize the impact either way, but I think that might defeat the original purpose of the question. It should have just resolved ambiguously if either threshold wasn’t reached.

There’s a lot less capacity with 4 engine jet retirements which should translate into more flights.

@fianxu Sorry to hear that. I hope they get well soon. Again, I know this isn’t the most important thing in the world. Thanks for the update.

I like the new format. However, on Rankings, I can only see the top 100. There use to be a button to see 100 more and so on until you could see all the forecasters. Is that button coming back? @moderators

Here’s one story from 3/16/21 about teachers not being able to get the vaccine. I can’t find any stories after that date. Technically, there seems to be no credible news source stating teachers can’t get vaccines, so this should resolve positively (or perhaps ambiguously.)

https://abcnews.go.com/Health/teachers-work-m…

— edited by Rexracer63 changed resolve negatively to resolve positively

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Does anyone think the name Netanyahu is Hebrew for Teflon?

Does anybody think predicting will be easier under a Biden administration? Or is the presidency irrelevant to predicting?

Add LinkedIn link in addition to Facebook, Twitter and Reddit.