The resolution condition refers to the "Internation Criminal Tribunal" but no such permanent institution exists. I assume International Criminal Court is meant here as well?
I feel like the resolution criteria for this question make this make it a lot harder for this to resolve positively than what the community prediction shows.
The city of Kyiv is divided up into ten raions, three to the east of the Dnipro and seven to the west. For Russian forces to fully control at least six within the next month would seem like a great overestimation of their urban warfare capabilities. I agree that it seems likely that Russian forces will control a large portion of the city by April 1st, but the way the raions in Kyiv are arranged ge...