Is the question concerning one dose or two doses vaccinantion? Most vaccines require 2 doses, which moves the timing by 3-4 weeks.
With interest rates climbing in the US, Tether is a money printing machine.
With 70B market cap/AUM, it currently gets 2 billion USD annually for free.
"Hopefully, it is now extremely obvious that Europe should restart dormant nuclear power stations and increase power output of existing ones.
This is critical to national and international security."
-- Elon Musk
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/150061395…
— edited by MaciekK
Price: 111.7
OVX Vol index (for WTIC, though) is 53, which is 3.3% daily, 10.5% for the next 10 trading days.
Price increase needed: 25%, or z=2.4
Probability P(x>Z) = 0.008197 or 0.8%
OK, that was a lot of fun! Final prediction: 13-14-16, while Metaculus went with 6.9-8.0-12
7 points
Generally, it felt as if I were juggling knives, razors and machetes at the same time and still got a pretty nice shave. Not a one I'd go to a TV station to have an interview with, but just a regular everyday one ;-)
— edited by Paapix
A lot of negative points here:
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.9 percent in April, its largest monthly increase since April 1982.
@Jgalt That's by date reported. By date of death still run at several dozen per day...
@admins Resolved to 0.266
A study from UK Health Security Agency suggests the generation interval is half a day shorter. Not a paper/not peer reviewed.
@admins This should resolve to 0.559, as per the BLS release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
@Sylvain Thanks for the condolences :-)
It was a 10σ event, so what can one do.
Yes yes, I can hear you, Nassim, concerning the power laws and non-normality of distributions, but still...
Prime Minister Sanna Marin (SDP) on Saturday said any potential Finnish bid to join Nato would have to be made before summer.
@kievalet I think one should take current price and recent volatility as the most important source of information (>95%). If one thinks they have better information than the totality of oil market participants, one should become a trader and easily become a multimillionaire.
@admins This resolved to 0.943 https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Starlink global coverage ETA: June
Much more unlikely to resolve positively in light of this study:
For at least the third day in the row the numbers are unchanged.
I think it is reaasonable to resolve to 433k now.
Mars Helicopter's mission is extended beyond the 5th flight.
"The 6th preprint from G2P-Japan - #Omicron is less infectious and pathogenic than #Delta and even an early pandemic SARS-CoV-2 in infected hamster model."