@Roon I have also detected what may be a sign of covert support for Trump.
All across the nation, in red states and blue states, people are hanging orange lights on their houses; many even displaying orange gourds on their doorsteps, sometimes with elaborately carved faces on them. The number of sightings has increased dramatically over the last two weeks and shows no sign of abating. I take this to be a coded sign of support for the orange candidate in the race.
@casens I would imagine Metaculus users are also quite a lot more likely than the general population to be able to work remotely.
@Tamay Now you tell him, right after he downed three bottles of Corona and booked a Princess cruise.
@clearthis Mind you, this is the guy who said "We will never concede," and then conceded about 36 hours later
Chauvin found guilty on all counts. This resolves positively.
I'm just going to sit back and watch this one with a cool detachment.
I think the public rankings should be extended beyond the top 100, given how much the community has expanded over the last few years.
WSJ: Republican House Minority Whip Steve Scalise said Saturday that the presidential election "isn’t over," becoming the first Congressional GOP leader to comment on the matter after the race was called for Joe Biden
It seems the Christmas spirit has evidently already reached the White House, as they have decided to gift millions of dollars to their lawyers without any realistic expectation of getting anything in return. Very generous!
I respectfully request that Stories not be added, as they seem to be everywhere else now.
Metaculus meetup on the moon in 2045, what do you say? I'll bring a bottle.
The group behind the website seems to be quite openly partisan, so I don't think they will set a very high bar for declaring an 'attempted coup.'
Another interesting question would be when total off-Earth GDP exceeds that of Earth.
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@iladan555 One might hope to win the lottery, but not many people would say they have a 99% chance of doing so
Even if some AI wanted to kill every human, I doubt it could build the infrastructure to do so before the end of this century.
I think this would be pretty easy for an actual superintelligence, given a decade or so to work with. Just redirect a big enough asteroid and it's over.