DeepMind: [Gato🐈a scalable generalist agent that uses a single transformer with exactly the same weights to play Atari, follow text instructions, caption images, chat with people, control a real robot arm, and more]( DeepMind publication: [A Generalist Agent]( >Abstract >Inspired by progress in large-scale language modelling, we apply a similar approach towards building a single generalist agent beyond the realm of text outputs. The agent, ...

@Roon I have also detected what may be a sign of covert support for Trump.

All across the nation, in red states and blue states, people are hanging orange lights on their houses; many even displaying orange gourds on their doorsteps, sometimes with elaborately carved faces on them. The number of sightings has increased dramatically over the last two weeks and shows no sign of abating. I take this to be a coded sign of support for the orange candidate in the race.

@QI92756340QI This is about whether he’s PM at a particular point in time; he doesn’t have to remain PM until January 1. While very unlikely, it is possible he could make a comeback.

OpenAI: [Solving (Some) Formal Math Olympiad Problems]( >We built a neural theorem prover for Lean that learned to solve a variety of challenging high-school olympiad problems, including problems from the AMC12 and AIME competitions, as well as two problems adapted from the IMO. >The prover uses a language model to find proofs of formal statements. Each time we find a new proof, we use it as new training data, which improves the neural network and enables it to iteratively find solutions to harder and harder stateme...
Mary Walsh, CBS: [U.S. official says satelite images show Russia troops leaving assembly points and moving to attack positions - @CBSDavidMartin reporting]( Steve Herman, Voice of America News: [US "in the process of temporarily relocating our Embassy operations in Ukraine from our Embassy in Kyiv to Lviv due to the dramatic acceleration in the buildup of Russian forces," announces @SecBlinken.]( BNO: [U.S. State Department orders destruction o...

I'd be interested to know why this is getting so many downvotes. It seems like a perfectly reasonable thing to have a question on, even if it seems very unlikely to happen. I think there is value in communicating that very unlikely things are very unlikely.

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@casens I would imagine Metaculus users are also quite a lot more likely than the general population to be able to work remotely.

CNBC: [Elon Musk is now the richest person in the world, passing Jeff Bezos]( >Elon Musk just became the richest person in the world, with a net worth of more than $185 billion. >Thursday’s increase in Tesla’s share price pushed Musk past Jeff Bezos, who had been the richest person since 2017 and is currently worth about $184 billion. Musk’s wealth surge over...

Is anyone aware of an even vaguely plausible argument as to how interracial marriage could be made illegal in a way that would not violate the Equal Protection Clause?

@Tamay Now you tell him, right after he downed three bottles of Corona and booked a Princess cruise.

Looks like Boris is going to cost a lot of us a lot of points here...

Reuters: [Germany vetoes nuclear power extension, aims for LNG terminal in 2024]( >Germany on Tuesday poured cold water on extending the life-span of its nuclear plants to help cut its reliance on Russian gas, saying it needed instead to build up alternative energy sources at "Tesla speed". >... >In response to Russia's ...

Another interesting question would be when total off-Earth GDP exceeds that of Earth.

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@casens I think it would be more useful to be able to select on each question when, if ever, you'd like to be notified about it. I would generally like to be notified when questions are 50%, 75%, and 90% of the way through their lifetime; the final day reminder no longer seems useful

Reuters: [EXCLUSIVE Twitter set to accept Musk's 'best and final' offer-sources]( >Twitter Inc is nearing a deal to sell itself to Elon Musk for $54.20 per share in cash, the price that he originally offered to the social media company and called his 'best and final', people familiar with the matter said. >Twitter may announce the $43 billion deal later on Monday once its board has met to recommend the transaction to Twitter shareholders, the sour...

@clearthis Mind you, this is the guy who said "We will never concede," and then conceded about 36 hours later

Chauvin found guilty on all counts. This resolves positively.


Even if some AI wanted to kill every human, I doubt it could build the infrastructure to do so before the end of this century.

I think this would be pretty easy for an actual superintelligence, given a decade or so to work with. Just redirect a big enough asteroid and it's over.

I'm just going to sit back and watch this one with a cool detachment.