Finally, we can YOLO our Metaculus points, like true epistemic degenerates

@Tamay <3

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My feedback is that I deeply dislike the new design on desktop, but it's great on phone. Also note: I often dislike design changes initially.

Wow, I didn't expect a 65% from the community. I am less confident than that, but now idk anymore. Maybe because I'm not familiar with Wikipedia's "In the news" section and

@fianxu it was this video. Timestamp provided. The speaker is Nir Barzilai.

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@Jgalt We have to thank him for having the courtesy of not exploding immediately so that we could gain some Metaculus points (unless the resolution is going to be changed)


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@Jgalt It will probably not be banned, but we have probably lost it anyway ,_,

@AvrahamEisenberg This feels very suspect to me, but I'll delve into modal realism at some point and probably get back to you because I'm sorta curious

@(kokotajlod) The most impressive thing is that I made a fakeish argument about why anime contribute to international stability, and Emerson suggested me a sorta related movie (Equilibrium). Then I asked it to repeat my argument because I wanted to see if it could. Not only it had understood the argument, but it answered with a smart-sounding counterargument: anime make people less likely to be interested in international news and therefore less likely to care about the world outside their country. Edit: plus, it displayed correct basic knowledge about...

@fianxu In past videos I saw, people mentioned a new organization with $1B per year budget.

@kokotajlod I have to eat my words a little, I'm conversing some more, and sometimes it is very unrealistic. I got somewhat lucky. "According to the State Department’s official biography of Trump, “Donald J. Trump's term ended on 2021-01-11 19:22:18. According to this biography, his term ended almost ten minutes shy of 8PM this evening. Mike Pence’s biography is showing a similar message. Shortly after this story was published, both pages stop...

In this video and in another one I saw but can't find right now, Aubrey says that Bezos reached out to SENS every year since 2006 to ask for updates, but never donated anything.

I was at 25%. Take that Metaculus community!

Edit: I wish I could post such useless comments and then delete them.

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@Sylvain I remember that thing not being super obvious for me either if this is of any help to you

From 40% to 20% after trying Emerson AI and shortlyai. My interaction with Emerson has been jaw-dropping, even by GPT-3 standards. Might have been lucky.