As far as darkweb hitmans carrying out assignations, Yevgeniya Shishkina's assination already happened in 2018.
When will the crypto-market Hydra be shutdown? It's special because the market is the only one where a assissination was conducted. It's also special because it has it's own meatspace destribution mechanism.
I have written two questions drafts ( https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5671/quan… / https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5670/calc… ) a week ago and I'm surprised about them not getting any interaction.
I think it would be good if it would be possible to filter question status for "draft" to be able to look through the drafts of other people and give feedback/vote on them.